Hey Tomas, highly insightful and well researched article, as usual. One component I find to be missing here though is the weather.
Cases in the EU and the US are on the rise, whereas Asia-Pacific regions have the pandemic under control. Now, your argumentation makes a lot of sense and those measures definitely are helpful - but to what extent to you think the weather factors in here?
After all, it is getting colder in the US and the EU; Asia-Pacific doesn't have this problem (except for maybe Northern Japan), and the time in which we would typically observe a flu outbreak here is around the corner.